All Stock Tips appearing on this website (the TopStocks ASX stock discussion forum) are submitted by the general public who
are not licensed financial advisors. None of the information on this website is financial or investment advice, you should seek independent financial
or investment advice by a licensed financial or investment advisor before entering into any position of financial risk.
Before using this website, you must agree to the TopStocks Terms Of Use.
TopStocks ASX Blogs
Blogs are a great way to express your indepth research as they are not lost in the flurry of posts on the main discussion board.
Blog Control Panel
Read Member Blogs Read the Blogs contributed by members on TopStocks.
Write A New Blog Write a Blog and have it seen by the thousands of visitors to this site each day.
Manage My Blogs View, Edit and maintain the blogs you've submitted.
HTML Link To This Blog (select the text and press CTRL-C to copy link)
Firstly you
need to have a criteria or a trading plan worked out previously that will apply
to each stock you look at prior to selection.
Remember
that the trading techniques that you use in a “Bull Market” are not necessarily
suited to a “Bear Market.”
The data
you use best is yesterdays close of market data i.e. Closing market price.
There is no point trying to research stock prices while the market is open for
you can find yourself chasing share prices. Also it can be very distracting if
you are trading in between doing research, for I have found myself buying and
selling for emotional reasons. And that can be disastrous.
So the main
reason that you do all your research after the close of trading is firstly to
have no distractions and secondly the prices and statistics are stationary.
This enables you to make correct decisions.
Your data
needs to be updated on a daily basis for the market is constantly changing and
if for any reason you don’t do so you could find yourself paying out more than
you should have or even worse buy a stock which is now heading downhill.
There are
no hard and fast rules for finding profitable stocks. A lot can depend on what
sort of trader you are and the type of market you select to trade in.
Here are
some basic suggestions, but it is up to you to decide what criteria you
ultimately want to use to select your stocks plus it has to be one that you are
comfortable in using.
1. Firstly
I like using my own two eyes. They are cheap to keep and quite reliable in
looking at a basic chart, (I prefer candlesticks myself) and you can tell in a
flash whether the stock is going up, down or sideways.
2.
Performance: - How profitable is the company? How are they performing? Are they
growing or just marking time?
3.
Accounting: - The bottom line again is how much profit are they making? Is it
on the increase or declining? Are they paying a regular dividend?
4. Some
fundamental traders like to back up their analysis by using some charts while
the more technical traders use a more comprehensive use of charts and various
indicators.
(For more
in depth explanation of charting please visit the free download section.)
5. Ranking:
- Who are the best performers today compared to yesterdays?
Who are the best
performers over the last 3 to 5 days?
Who are the best
performers over the last week or so?
Which are the stocks which
have made new highs or lows?
Remember that
your approach to picking stocks will be an individual blend of criteria that
you personally feel comfortable using.
Other Factors to
Consider.
This first
group is to establish your break even point.
1. Assess the risk.
Is this
trade a short term or a long term trade? For the longer the trade is open the
greater the risk of it moving in a way we did not anticipate.
2. Decide the position size.
This can
depend on the share price. For instance if you have $5,000 to invest then that
means either 5,000 at a $1.00 each or 500 at $10 each.
3. Assess the impact of brokerage.
If you have
invested only $500 and the brokerage is $50 for buying and selling thenyou have to make 10% profit just to break
even.
4. Consider the tax implications.
When you
make a profit you are liable for capital gains tax unless of course you can
offset it with previous losses.
The second group is to establish Time and Risk.
1. Setting realistic trade objectives i.e.
profit.
For
instance the number of shares available might restrict the number of shares
needed to make a reasonable profit.
2. Estimate the time in the market or how long
for the trade.
The longer
in the trade increases the risk of the market turning against you.
3. Assessing downside risk: - setting in place
a stop loss.
If the
trade fails and prices go against you, how much can you afford to lose? And is
this comparable to your stop loss point?
4. Meeting your money management objectives.
Does the
trade and intended position size meet with the capital allocated for the trade?
Does the
trade have enough realistic potential profit? In other words what are the
financial objectives for this trade?
Knowing
when to exit a losing trade is imperative as is knowing when to exit a
profitable one.
Ultimately the
reason you are trading in the market is to make a profit. If you don’t research
properly and all it will take is a succession of losses to deplete your trading
capital.
Trading
discipline to minimise losses and to maximise profits is the key to trading
success.
Strudy is a keen successful share trader on the Australian Stock Market.
Visit his weblogs for more free articles and useful information at both http://www.asxnewbie.com and http://www.aussiewealthreview.com