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GAP TRADING is usually done over a two to
three day’s trading duration.
I am buying in at around mid-point of the first day’s trading. I usually am
selling at around the mid-point of the second day, occasionally in the third
day of trading.
The “Selection Criteria” that I use is:-
1. Volume. There must be good volume on the buying side. Volume is more
important the day before the gap, not last week’s volume.
2. Price pattern.
3. Trend pattern. There must be a definite trend line straight upwards.(
Peaks and troughs higher than the ones before.)
4. Multiple moving averages.
5. More buyers than sellers.
6. A reasonable spread between the “Bid” and “Ask”.
7. Price. I select the best stock with the most leverage.
To let things stabilize, I check the stock at around 50 minutes after the
opening of trading prior to buying in.
A lower share price means more opportunity for a substantial price rise
today and tomorrow. This increases the % profit for the trade.
A higher risk applies to these trades as well.
IF my reselected profit level % is reached quickly on the first day, I then
have the option of selling today or putting in a stop loss at that level to
lock in the profits and let it ride into the second day’s trading.
Very rarely am I in for three days as the share price invariably recedes in
these “gaps”.
Price gaps usually happen when the trading public realizes (wake up) that a
price shock has occurred.
A tip here “chasing gaps is a
great way to throw away money.”
A gap occurs when today’s open share
price is higher than yesterday’s closing high, this confirms a surge in buying
activity.
And also the opposite happens when the open share price is lower than
yesterday’s low price. This confirms a surge in selling activity.
The bigger the gap the stronger the buying/selling pressure. Gaps are very
significant in stocks with a steady volume of sales.
The price gap remains“Bullish” if
two conditions are met.
1. The open is higher than the high price of the previous day and continues
to climb above the open price.
2. The share price does not fall below yesterdays low.
Of course if the opposite is happening (bearish) then the share price is obviously
declining.
Classic gap activity shows a dramatic change in investor sentiment. Stocks
with a high number of trades confirm a “Crowd” has gathered and herd action is
developing.
Gaps indicate significant changes in stock valuations. Either up or down.
Gaps also show overnight and in weekend volatility.
These gaps always appear after the first 30 minutes in trading.
Personally I am always interested in gaps of more than 3%. These typical
rallies usually last only at most 3 to 5 days maximum.
Another tip, “A failed gap on or
around day 4 invariably signals it is time to take your profits and run.
All of the above information will help you to better understand how
important gaps can be in your daily profitable share trading.
Strudy is a keen successful share trader on the Australian Stock Market.
Visit his weblogs for more free articles and useful information at both http://www.asxnewbie.com and http://www.aussiewealthreview.com