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Beware the "P/E Trap"

Category: Musings Published: 23-02-2008 By: Thelongestname...
[click to enlarge]
My Stock Consultants
My Stock Consultants
    BEWARE THE "P/E TRAP"   
 
This ratio is simply the market price of a company's shares divided by the company's earnings per share. It is widely and incorrectly viewed as a measure of value - apparently a rapid way to determine if a company's shares are cheap.

Many use it because it is easy to calculate. But for investment success the path of least resistance is not reliable.

Take for example 2 companies, each with $10 of equity, producing a return on equity of 5%, and each trading on a P/E ratio of 10, would produce entirely different returns to the investor if there was any variation in the dividend payout ratios. For this reason the P/E ratio of 10 has told the investor nothing about which company is better value.

Simply put ~ Price is what you pay, but Value is what you get.  Because the P/E ratio uses price it cannot estimate value.

Companies with...

# Proven ability to re-invest profits consistently at a high level of ROE

# Conservative interest-bearing debt

# Low investment in operating capital assets

...would be the kind of stocks to look for.
 
 
 

 






 
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